The Caboose Discount Report

Name: The Caboose Discount Report — October 2026
Creator: Caboose
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

October 2026 · Updated from live inventory. We track every US listing that CarGurus rates below its expected market price — 1,738 cars right now, across 12 makes and 49 states — and publish what the discounts look like. Free to cite, free to reuse.

$1,486is how far under market the average long-lasting used car on Caboose is listed in October 2026, across 1,738 listings. The median one costs $0.20 for each mile it has left before 200,000.

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Cite this

Caboose, “The Caboose Discount Report, October 2026,” caboose.world/report, data as of 2026-10-08. Longevity figures: iSeeCars Longest Lasting Cars Study (September 2026).

1,738below-market listings tracked

$1,486average gap to market price

5.1%average discount

$2,582,178total discount on the board

What we found this month

Acura ILX is the most discounted model we track, averaging 8.1% ($1,536) below market across 28 listings.
California has the deepest discounts of any state with a meaningful sample — 7.1% off, 170 listings.
The single biggest gap on the board is a 2015 Mercedes-Benz G-Class at $55,000 — $7,221 under its expected price.
Discounts run deeper on $10,000–$15,000 cars (8%) than on any other price band.

Most discounted models

Ranked by average percentage below expected market price. Minimum 20 live listings to qualify.

Deepest average discount by model
Model	Avg. discount	Avg. $ off	Median price	Avg. miles	Listings
Acura ILX	8.1%	$1,536	$16,452	80,486	28
Mercedes-Benz E-Class	8%	$1,905	$17,596	76,036	34
RAM 3500	6.7%	$3,175	$46,386	61,255	29
RAM 2500	6.5%	$2,674	$42,072	64,340	61
GMC Yukon	6.3%	$2,011	$27,616	88,379	28
Chevrolet Tahoe	5.9%	$2,013	$38,099	90,764	28
Lexus RX Hybrid	5.7%	$2,176	$40,834	61,531	24
Lexus IS	5.6%	$1,573	$30,353	58,044	47
GMC Sierra 2500HD	5.2%	$2,457	$48,445	72,136	21
Toyota 4Runner	5.1%	$1,811	$37,249	69,171	31
Toyota Tundra	5.1%	$1,965	$37,997	56,859	34
Acura RDX	5.1%	$1,489	$31,898	47,972	129
Honda Accord	5.1%	$982	$20,539	68,874	50
Lexus RX	5.1%	$1,808	$38,262	56,062	103
Lexus GX	5%	$1,925	$33,677	76,166	31

Biggest dollar savings by model

Percentages favour cheap cars; this is the same set ranked by dollars off instead.

Largest average dollar discount by model
Model	Avg. discount	Avg. $ off	Median price	Avg. miles	Listings
RAM 3500	6.7%	$3,175	$46,386	61,255	29
RAM 2500	6.5%	$2,674	$42,072	64,340	61
GMC Sierra 2500HD	5.2%	$2,457	$48,445	72,136	21
Lexus RX Hybrid	5.7%	$2,176	$40,834	61,531	24
Chevrolet Tahoe	5.9%	$2,013	$38,099	90,764	28
GMC Yukon	6.3%	$2,011	$27,616	88,379	28
Toyota Tundra	5.1%	$1,965	$37,997	56,859	34
Lexus GX	5%	$1,925	$33,677	76,166	31
Mercedes-Benz E-Class	8%	$1,905	$17,596	76,036	34
Toyota 4Runner	5.1%	$1,811	$37,249	69,171	31

Discounts by state

Where the below-market cars are cheapest relative to their own market value. Minimum 40 listings.

Average discount by state
State	Avg. discount	Avg. $ off	Median price	Avg. miles	Listings
California	7.1%	$1,880	$24,580	62,362	170
Texas	6.4%	$1,947	$29,574	57,196	171
New York	6.1%	$1,983	$30,581	47,214	66
Massachusetts	6%	$1,621	$23,405	67,368	53
Ohio	6%	$1,771	$26,442	66,885	51
Illinois	5.9%	$1,795	$33,058	54,370	44
North Carolina	4.3%	$1,123	$26,081	72,238	82
Maryland	4.1%	$1,176	$27,291	56,407	49
Georgia	4%	$1,214	$29,567	63,131	92
New Jersey	3.4%	$941	$25,546	60,564	90
Virginia	3.4%	$912	$28,110	55,318	103
Florida	1.9%	$608	$28,675	49,162	160

State-by-state rankings

Every state with at least 10 listings, ranked by the median cost per remaining mile (price ÷ miles left to 200,000). Lower is better.

States ranked by median cost per remaining mile, 2026-10-08
Rank	State	Median $ per mile left	Avg. discount	Avg. $ off	400K or 500K rated	Listings
1	New Hampshire	$0.16	4.7%	$1,333	20%	15
2	Pennsylvania	$0.17	5.5%	$1,466	3%	38
3	Kansas	$0.17	5%	$1,369	0%	10
4	California	$0.18	7.1%	$1,880	10%	170
5	Connecticut	$0.18	3.9%	$1,098	11%	36
6	Colorado	$0.18	6.2%	$1,577	11%	35
7	Indiana	$0.19	7%	$1,898	9%	22
8	Utah	$0.19	5.5%	$1,740	12%	17
9	North Carolina	$0.19	4.3%	$1,123	9%	82
10	New Jersey	$0.19	3.4%	$941	3%	90
11	Florida	$0.19	1.9%	$608	9%	160
12	Virginia	$0.19	3.4%	$912	12%	103
13	Michigan	$0.20	6.9%	$1,746	16%	19
14	Nevada	$0.20	3.3%	$732	0%	14
15	Maryland	$0.20	4.1%	$1,176	6%	49
16	New York	$0.20	6.1%	$1,983	8%	66
17	South Carolina	$0.20	5.5%	$1,516	10%	31
18	Washington	$0.20	6.6%	$2,059	7%	29
19	Massachusetts	$0.20	6%	$1,621	15%	53
20	Oklahoma	$0.21	5.1%	$1,550	15%	20
21	Ohio	$0.21	6%	$1,771	14%	51
22	Texas	$0.21	6.4%	$1,947	18%	171
23	Kentucky	$0.21	4.3%	$1,460	12%	26
24	Illinois	$0.22	5.9%	$1,795	2%	44
25	Oregon	$0.22	7.1%	$1,936	18%	17
26	Minnesota	$0.22	5.5%	$1,727	14%	22
27	Georgia	$0.22	4%	$1,214	17%	92
28	Missouri	$0.22	5.3%	$1,719	12%	34
29	Wisconsin	$0.23	5%	$1,704	17%	18
30	Iowa	$0.23	6.6%	$2,250	20%	20
31	Arizona	$0.23	5.2%	$1,534	6%	31
32	Alabama	$0.24	5%	$1,703	15%	34
33	Tennessee	$0.25	5%	$1,559	22%	32
34	Arkansas	$0.30	5.9%	$2,896	33%	12

Discounts by body type

Average discount by body type
Body type	Avg. discount	Avg. $ off	Median price	Avg. miles	Listings
Truck	5.9%	$2,404	$40,211	63,649	233
Sedan	5.5%	$1,232	$22,232	60,789	327
Minivan	4.9%	$1,238	$32,012	56,695	48
SUV	4.7%	$1,398	$28,471	58,408	1052
Hatchback	3%	$638	$24,081	42,728	36

Read the van row with care. Commercial vans show roughly double the discount of any other body type, and they dominate the raw list of deepest single discounts. That is most likely a limitation of the valuation model on low-volume commercial vehicles rather than a real buying opportunity — treat it as a flag to look closer, not as a finding.

Discounts by price band

Average discount by price band
Group	Avg. discount	Avg. $ off	Median price	Avg. miles	Listings
$10,000–$15,000	8%	$1,121	$12,983	117,746	172
$15,000–$20,000	6.3%	$1,210	$17,790	95,402	204
$20,000–$30,000	4.5%	$1,194	$25,076	54,815	596
$30,000 and up	4.4%	$1,884	$39,215	39,985	748

Discounts by vehicle age

Average discount by vehicle age
Group	Avg. discount	Avg. $ off	Median price	Avg. miles	Listings
1–3 years old	3.5%	$1,350	$34,129	30,720	875
4–6 years old	5.3%	$1,705	$27,849	73,510	372
7–9 years old	6.9%	$1,534	$18,993	97,683	294
10+ years old	9%	$1,601	$13,785	110,089	197

The ten deepest discounts on the board right now

One car per model, so a single over-represented model can't fill the list.

Mile rating

Big SavingsGreat Deal

2015 Mercedes-Benz G-Class

G 63 AMG 4MATIC · White

$55,000

$7,221 below market

64k mi · College Point, NY 9.1 / 10

17.3% reach 250k miles · 136k miles left to 200k

$0.40 per mile of runway

See this deal

Mile rating

Big SavingsGreat Deal

2019 Ford F-250 Super Duty

Platinum Crew Cab 4WD · Agate Black Metallic

$51,413

$5,881 below market

81k mi · San Marcos, TX 8.8 / 10

13.4% reach 250k miles · 119k miles left to 200k

$0.43 per mile of runway

See this deal

Mile rating

Big SavingsGreat Deal

2015 RAM 2500

SLT Crew Cab 4WD · White

$27,950

$5,070 below market

120k mi · Thomson, GA 9.0 / 10

14.3% reach 250k miles · 80k miles left to 200k

$0.35 per mile of runway

See this deal

Mile rating

Top 10 Longest-LastingGreat Deal

2015 RAM 3500

Laramie Longhorn Mega Cab DRW 4WD · Bright White Clearcoat

$42,387

$5,012 below market

74k mi · Seekonk, MA 9.7 / 10

31.9% reach 250k miles · 126k miles left to 200k

$0.34 per mile of runway

See this deal

Mile rating

Big SavingsGreat Deal

2026 Mercedes-Benz E-Class

E 350 4MATIC · Black

$59,124

$4,952 below market

3k mi · Bentonville, AR 8.4 / 10

7% reach 250k miles · 197k miles left to 200k

$0.30 per mile of runway

See this deal

2020 Lexus RC 300 AWD — $26,599, $4,268 below market, 68,284 miles, Orlando, FL
2022 Mercedes-Benz E-Class All-Terrain E 450 4MATIC AWD — $36,715, $4,174 below market, 73,030 miles, Plano, TX
2015 Chevrolet Silverado 2500HD LTZ Crew Cab 4WD — $27,306, $4,170 below market, 140,969 miles, Schoolcraft, MI
2017 Ford F-350 Super Duty Lariat Crew Cab 4WD — $35,503, $3,785 below market, 141,067 miles, Blaine, WA
2016 Acura ILX — $21,998, $3,757 below market, 22,473 miles, Austin, TX

Method, and what these numbers do not say

The sample is deliberately one-sided. We only track listings CarGurus rates a "Great Deal" — priced below the expected market value for that year, model, trim and mileage. So "the average discount is 5.1%" means among cars already known to be below market. It does not mean the average used car is 5.1% off, and anyone citing it that way is misreading it.

Prices are dealer asking prices, not sale prices, and exclude tax, title and fees. "Expected market price" is CarGurus' own valuation for that vehicle. Mileage, location, and days on market come from the listing. The catalog is re-pulled from scratch on every deploy, so these figures describe live inventory on 2026-10-08, not a historical average. Sample sizes are shown in every table; treat small-n rows with the caution they deserve.

Reuse: these figures are free to quote or republish with a link to the Caboose report page. If you want a cut we haven't published — by metro, by trim, over time — email info@island.direct and we'll run it.